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The importance of planning the year-end/beginning of the year

fenixcyc.clEvery year between September and October, large companies define their spending budgets and therefore what they will require from their suppliers of products and services. Therefore, companies of any size that are still in the chain should begin to adopt similar ideas.

However, this 2020 things have changed, new protocols have had to be taken to face the commercial world, especially in addition to the human conditions. Purchasing or consumption behaviors have new seasonalities, new logistics and demands.

At a general management level, this last quarter, it is urgent to take a fresh look at digital markets and trends, a survey conducted by us on linkedin http://t.ly/SqTB established as a general second priority to enter the world over cost savings and organizational climate, which shows that the perception of digital transformation has spread to all environments, although without a clear path.

Being able to segment markets into those that are safe and those with a future and thus generate loyalty activities is also relevant, since post-pandemic there are clearly areas of the economy that have been very hard hit by the change in behavior and the crisis, we must refocus our efforts on markets “with a future” and lastly, as a strategy, we must initiate the variabilization of fixed costs.

Financially, the administrators or managers must activate all the activities of financial shielding, the reality is that this crisis left many companies highly indebted with credits guaranteed by the state and whose payment burdens begin at the end of the year, this has generated a lethargic reaction of banks to renew the lines of working capital that the only thing that seeks is that the companies pass the stress test and thus renew who “supports the storm”. This is common in crises, but it seems that the lack of memory and novice companies in these periods make them rely more than necessary on these obligatory financial partners.

The finance manager should use all franchises to reserve resources for the eventual non-renewal of lines. In addition, the company will be able to take advantage of accounting and tax exemptions that will allow it to privilege future cash flows.

Commercially, the leaders of these areas have a great mission, to update the business models due to all the behavioral changes already mentioned, to use tools such as the canvas or other and to determine the new added values of the customers that have a future in the market with service and customer orientation. On the other hand, digital marketing activities emerge today no longer as a complement but as the spearhead of the commercial activity, due to the strong penetration of this world, omnichannel and content oriented to improve the customer’s shopping experience become even in the sales channel with more future than the face-to-face ones. Joining this trend is absolutely VITAL if you want to stay. Training salespeople on virtual tools, CRM uses, pipeline concepts, forecast applied in real life, must be on a daily basis. Of course you must also set your sales budget now on this new reality.

It is not a simple task to plan “this” year-end closing because in addition to the classic expense and sales budgets, tax, labor and accounting adjustments, we must make an adjustment of the business model, which if properly done could even give extreme options, from a total adjustment or an inevitable disappearance from the market because our added value has disappeared, the latter is hard but it is better to accept it and reinvent ourselves soon than after a long agony.

We are optimistic because human nature is resilient, and tends to adapt in surprising ways. So let’s plan ahead and see what 2021 brings.

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Successful Virtual Sales

Reality overcomes fiction, that slogan so busy in the movies when something surprises us out of the blue, manifested itself again today in the global business world. Years of experience, lectures, workshops, seminars where we were explained how to make a successful sale, suddenly must be modified from the root, because the very essence of these was based on the “contact” with the customer. Healthcare measures and also digital transformation as a process of cultural evolution leave this cornerstone altered and in some cases literally obsolete.

Sales managers around the world are usually a very high proportion of self-taught non-professional sales people, in other cases various professionals who had to incorporate sales as a “technique” to survive in their basic studies, and to a lesser degree some born salespeople. Whatever their origin, today they are facing a very different reality and therefore must “reinvent” themselves by adapting the best of the past and jumping on the bandwagon of commercial virtuality without delay.

The different sales processes, customer prospecting today is maintained through calls and emails, after a normally very basic analysis (by zonal divisions, by vertical category, etc.). In some companies more up to date CRMs connected to AI systems generate fine segmentations, but it is not yet common.

The next stage of negotiation has lost the space for that “magic” where the salesperson tilts emotions, temperaments, techniques, needs and benefits in the sacred moment of the sale. Today he must do this in front of a screen, where the interlocutor has less time and more space to hide behind a mute or a blocked image. Today we are faced with those reality shows where you meet a millionaire banker to whom you must sell your business idea in the few minutes it takes you to ride in an elevator, there is no more time.

Therefore, if this is already a trend, we must do it right, use everything that exists as a tool and transform the old salesperson into a SalesManager version 2020.

The first thing is obviously to get to know the media correctly, the platforms that are used today are varied, and we must prepare ourselves so as not to make a mistake, one wrong keystroke and our business is gone. Whether Zoom, Teams, Meet or other, they are simple, easy to use and can be used on smartphones, tablets, notebooks, etc. without major problems.

The recommendations in front of the screen are very important, look good, an appropriate background, regular wifi network, and above all good sound, many meetings are “heard” rather than seen. There is a tendency to multitask, this means that an interlocutor can be doing more than one thing while listening, or supposedly listening. It should not be this way, but it is a reality. We have been in group meetings with only black screens, this should never happen from a salesperson.

We have little space, and we must be concrete, hopefully practice several times with time, and rely on a striking presentation oriented to the one who will observe it, in substance and form, with limited time, language with precise marketing, benefits over features. This is what one must bring from years of business experience to the present moment.

The fusion of virtual sales and traditional sales will generate your success, but you must get used to be up to date, the times of “we have always done things this way” are gone, today we live in the change, every day new applications appear, we must navigate in the networks observing this, educating ourselves in youtube, webinars, elearning workshops, lives, etc. social networks migrated to commercial networks and every day new ways of giving added value to our customers appear.

Welcome to the digital economy, where no one is left out, and sales are perfected with simple tools available to everyone.

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Professionalization of the company: key to projection.

In Chile, 80% of the companies are family-owned, a scenario that presents several administrative and management shortcomings, which can be addressed by creating corporate structures that allow the business to be projected over time.

In general terms, a “family-managed company” is one in which at least 50% of the senior executives are from the same family group. INE data indicate that today there are around 750,000 companies in Chile, and of these, according to studies by the Business School of the Universidad de los Andes, around 80% are family businesses.

This is not minor if we take into account that, at market level, it is considered that a company loses value if more than two thirds of the executives are family members -mainly because of the potential for conflict- and that, according to the Association of Family Businesses (AEF), 85% of these companies do not survive to the third generation, with an average duration of 8 years of existence.

ROLE CROSSOVER AND LACK OF MEASUREMENT

“These companies face, first, a growth crisis, and then a management crisis”, this would be generated, among other reasons, by administrative failures of managers and/or owners, invasion of roles or members unsuitable for the positions, lack of protocols, irregular financial and communicational flows.

In this scenario, one of the greatest shortcomings may come from the leader, who, bypassing middle management, intervenes in the areas of competence of other members. “This is harmful, because it avoids the structure of people through which you could transfer decisions, and at the same time, measure their efficiency”, it also happens that the founder is the one who “has the business in his head”, not having created a system to transfer that knowledge, a scenario that can complicate the family succession of the business.

Another present problem is related to people in positions merely because of family connection, instead of knowledge, “who try to make up for what they don’t know, with authority; thus, those who really know see that there is no merit in the processes”, adds the engineer. Unfortunately, in these situations, there is often no intervention, either for emotional reasons or because of a lack of effective measurement of the work to support a removal.

In terms of financial diagnostics, he warns that audits often uncover what he calls “Bowling Pin Syndrome”, a common phenomenon characterized by unclear accounting information and/or erratic cash flows, something that usually goes unnoticed “because the owner feels that the business has been doing well”, but which may be generating large losses.

BUSINESS BLINDAGE or ORGANIZATIONAL MANAGEMENT

At the corporate level, the professionalization of an organization is not merely the academic improvement of its members: it is to make it visible, optimize it and standardize its operation through a clear and assessable corporate structure, thus generating a “shield”,

to consolidate its position in the market as well as to face its ups and downs. Something that can be complex to achieve in a space where things have often been put together on the fly.

This requires a company accompaniment – developed by external advisors – characterized, in the first instance, by the creation of management committees, which will define rules, procedures, roles and authorities, and regularize the provision of information for decision making. “The objectives must be clear, nothing can be left to interpretation,” he says, adding that an alignment of senior management, with commitment and a strategic outlook, is fundamental to the success of this.

“In Chile, it usually happens that when companies go bankrupt, especially medium-sized ones, they do so because of cash flow problems”, stressing that a restructuring of the financial administration may be required, consciously analyzing the suitability of the roles, not only in this area, but at a general level, since “the neural network of the company is sometimes different from the network of authority and you have to be able to identify who is who, to make the most of human capital and see where the elements that give meaning to the process are”.

In this sense, it is vital to measure the performance of each of the parts of the gearbox. “Progressively each member should be advised that they will begin to be evaluated. Methods and goals are established, and the person will have to start performing. If he or she doesn’t, there is an objective argument for moving him or her; in addition, a signal of transparency will be given to the rest of the organization.”

However, it is asserted that success in the process stems from the ability to visualize the value of the process. “There are people whose business is so good, that they won’t make the effort to become more efficient, because they like the familiar. And no matter how much they are told that such a person is a ‘disaster,’ they won’t take him out.”

LONG-LASTING

It should be clear that the experiences of professionalization counseling vary from case to case, and according to the specific needs, although all of them require long-term and, in the first stage, intangible work. Depending on the organization of the company, after approximately 6 to 18 months, the necessary radical changes begin to be identified: who is really useful, who has potential, as well as who and what no longer worked”. However, contrary to what one might think, in the expert’s opinion, these are very simple stages that begin with the loyalty of the information. “When you have the appropriate information, you start with one area, normally administration and finance, which is the one that summarizes everything, then you combine it with the commercial area, with the logistics area, and in the end you make the whole unit work together in a great delivery of regular and stable information. And with that you can make key decisions to give projection to the company”.

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Keys to financial shielding

There are situations that can lead to a rapid financial deterioration of a company to the point of bankruptcy.

A fairly common problem -it could be said that it is almost endemic in our country- is that the vast majority of SMEs finance long-term projects with short-term lines or credits. This makes them vulnerable, especially when economic crises and liquidity shortages occur. It is enough, for example, that the bank does not renew the line due to a change in risk policy to deal them a hard blow, since they must start paying a debt that was not previously included in the cash flow. The shielding in this type of situation implies, therefore, taking short-term credits and achieving a long-term structure that accompanies the maturity of the business units.

This was the path we recommended to our clients as soon as the first symptoms of the subprime crisis and the current crisis emerged. We warned them that companies should prepare for a lean period. But there were companies that chose not to follow our advice, assuming that we were exaggerating, and they are simply not in the market today. They were unable to bear their financial burden, as their payment chain was abruptly interrupted, the banks lost patience with them and they had to liquidate their assets and personal wealth to pay their commitments.

Another frequent situation is the imbalance due to “overexposure” in terms of collateral given to obtain credit, which, contrary to what might be thought, represents a disadvantageous condition when facing a crisis. Banks are not interested in capturing properties, their business is not real estate; their focus is on cash flow, that is, on the company’s generation capacity.

Therefore, if a company is out of balance in its “credit v/s collateral” ratio and is severely affected in its payment chain, the lending institution will analyze the situation, after a while it will normalize it and then use the collateral at “liquidation value” to settle the debts, which obviously fractures the assets of the entrepreneurs.

There is a misconception that by having all your assets in a financial institution you will receive special treatment, but normally the pressure will be more intense. Because from the perspective of the bank and its risk analysts, in the absence of revenue generation, the logical reaction is to hedge against potential losses to other potential creditors as soon as possible.

Another reason why SMEs usually hit rock bottom is because they “put all their eggs in one basket”. By concentrating their sales in a few customers -sometimes the relationship with one of them represents more than 50% of their revenues- they are exposed to the designs and changes in commercial policies of the main buyer. In our experience we have seen how many companies are really complicated when the most important customer suddenly demands new standards in the manufacture of their products, which necessarily involves investing in new technology. But, when that SME is living on a shoestring, resorting to factoring to pay taxes or getting into debt to pay salaries, it clearly has no room for maneuver to continue operating. It has no shielding, not only financially, but also in terms of administration and commercial management.

It must be remembered at all times that the first basis for credit analysis is to have a strongly supported cash flow. However, it is often the case that “MSMEs” do not work with this concept. They live from day to day (trusting that “on the way the load will be fixed”) using the resources from sales as if they were business profits, when this money is required to pay commitments and have working capital.

The liability structure of a company is what determines a longer or shorter duration of a business. When we talk about “shielding” we refer to a structure of availability of financing lines with appropriate terms, guarantees and conditions to address the challenges of business plan growth and, of course, complex moments. The correct equation

The financing between suppliers, equity and bank credit is the basis for the technical support required for commercial management and the strengthening of companies in the long term.

Globalization forces SMEs to have a more stable and forward-looking financial behavior, as they cannot remain untouched by the ups and downs of the economy. Before a new crisis, it is necessary to pay attention to the symptoms of the lack of shielding. Have an umbrella handy in case it rains.

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How much is my company worth?

When we have goods that are easy to exchange this question is asked based on what the market is willing to pay, and it applies to properties, vehicles and practically all goods because there are web portals that in a very simple way can determine value ranges.

But if someone suddenly arrives and says “I want to buy your company, how much is it worth?”, the answer is not so simple, because although what the market is willing to pay is always a premise, access to this information is not easy to access.

In developed countries where the accounting and tax systems have public regulations, companies are traded as a commodity because it is assumed that the values are audited, reviewed and controlled.

In Latin America the issue is like this only in the corporate segment, but what happens in the middle or small segments? In this case we must carry out a valuation process that, although not extensive in time, can be complex due to the quality of the information.

What makes this process difficult? events such as unaudited financial statements, continuous changes in accounting styles, confusion between company assets and shareholders, etc, etc.

Therefore, if you want to answer this question and just as you know the value of your house, your car, your apartment on the beach, you should assume that it is better to be prepared to answer this question in advance so as not to embark on a sale that will cause you to encounter uncomfortable surprises.

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SMEs: Prevent or Lament

Common sense tells us that during the winter we should be attentive to the weather report so that we are not caught in the rain without the proper clothing and umbrella. If we are not prepared, we can obviously get wet. In an ideal scenario, companies also take all the necessary financial safeguards to avoid being surprised by a crisis that could jeopardize not only the fulfillment of their obligations, but also the very survival of the business. 

Unfortunately, the reality of many micro, small and medium-sized companies -which account for 98% of the country’s labor capacity- shows that there is still a great deal of improvisation in financial management. Companies do not detect where their weaknesses lie until a local or global event – a crisis, market or technological changes – bitterly reveals to them that they could have avoided a debacle if they had been “armored”. 

It is in normal and prosperous times that we must properly prepare for crises, because when the crisis has arrived, there is no more time. It should not be forgotten that the economy moves in cycles of highs and lows, of stability and volatility. Experts who have studied the subject point out that major crises occur approximately every 10 to 12 years worldwide and that they occur in increasingly shorter periods. 

A wise warrior knows that he cannot wait to receive an attack before saying: “I will have to design and make my own armor” or “get a blacksmith to give me an armor resistant to everything”. That moment has passed, and now he must be in the trench all day, resisting the attacks of his enemies and in the few moments of rest, dreaming of the time he lost. 

Similarly, companies must be financially shielded to meet their challenges. For Chilean companies, their main armor is working capital, since in general they do not go bankrupt or lose their battle because their products are deficient, but because they do not know how to optimally use their “cash flow”. 

The most recent international crisis alerted that many SMEs in Chile have not yet taken seriously that the management of this concept is vital when planning the development of growth or decline, for their own or external reasons. A cash flow mismatch can cause a great idea, a tremendous innovative effort or years of entrepreneurial family effort to disappear for lack of proper financial shielding.

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Tips for Economic Challenges

1.- CALM

Nothing is decided correctly in the heat of the moment, it is very important to be able to mentally process the situation calmly, to find the space to be able to reflect.

2.- TEMPLANZA

This is not the time for complaints or emotionalism, that is wasted time and does not contribute to any change, we must assume the change and be VERY TEMPLATE in the analysis of the reality we face. Moments of change are not necessarily a drama but an opportunity to adapt to a new reality.

3.- ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF THE COMPANY

To make decisions for an action plan I need to know what I count on, how is my company really doing? Is it prepared for a downturn in sales? Do I have external or internal liquidity support? I need to have an x-ray to know which treatment is the most appropriate for medicines or vitamins, or both.

4.- VARIABILIZE EXPENSES, eliminate superfluous expenses and make fixed expenses variable.

5.- INVESTMENT EVALUATION,re-evaluating investment projects does not necessarily mean stopping them, many times they are necessary to take advantage of the moment, but it is important to evaluate the moment of execution to see if it fits with the economic demand.

6.- ACTIVATE FINANCIAL SHIELDING,privilege your cash flow, look for liquidity by all means (improve collection, negotiate suppliers, improve your bank lines).

7.- ACTIVATE MARKETING STRATEGIES, seek to position yourself and be current in the market at low cost (social networks, marketing notes, etc.) Your competition will also be affected, it is an opportunity to occupy the market. Periodically review your business model and ADAPT.

8.- ELIMINATE “BAD” DEBT, free yourself as much as possible from high interest debt such as credit cards, overdraft lines or similar.

9.- EVALUATES THE USE OF YOUR FIXED ASSETS

In many companies the use of the company’s assets are over-protecting the activity, check if the company’s liquidity can be improved by making a refinancing structure more in line with the economic moment.

10.- PLAN B

It is always healthy to have a contingency plan, such as looking for new partners to add value in management and capital as an option and also to take into account the valuation of your company in case it is time to sell.